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Alvin Kamara
NFL · Player Props
Alvin Kamara
RB · New Orleans Saints
Receiving Yards
Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints · Week 7, 2022 Updated Oct 21, 2022 12:11 AM EST
NFL Props Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -150.

Favors Over
  • The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup QB Andy Dalton in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to earn 6.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
  • Alvin Kamara has been a key part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 20.3% this year, which places him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-least in football.
  • Alvin Kamara has totaled quite a few less receiving yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (36.0).
  • Alvin Kamara's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 72.0% to 68.5%.
  • Alvin Kamara's receiving efficiency has worsened this season, averaging just 4.64 yards-per-target vs a 7.11 figure last season.
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