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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 141.0 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average).
  • In this week's contest, Alvin Kamara is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.7 carries.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are massive -14-point underdogs.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Saints as the 8th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 39.0% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • After making up 63.9% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Alvin Kamara has played a smaller part in the running game this season, currently taking on only 51.6%.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Los Angeles's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in football.

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