Alvin Kamara Carries
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league (40.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.

The predictive model expects the Saints to run the most total plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Alvin Kamara to accrue 14.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile among running backs.

The Tampa Bay defensive ends profile as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Saints being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

After accounting for 63.9% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Alvin Kamara has been less involved in the rushing attack this season, currently making up only 52.0%.

More Alvin Kamara Player Props

Alvin Kamara CarriesPlayer Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Alvin Kamara Carries
Player Prop Week 8