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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Saints to be the 8th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 45.7% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Saints are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's contest, Alvin Kamara is expected by the projections to find himself in the 85th percentile among RBs with 15.7 carries.
  • The Panthers linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Saints, who are -5-point underdogs.
  • After making up 63.9% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Alvin Kamara has been called on less the rushing attack this year, now accounting for just 51.5%.

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