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Allen Robinson

Allen Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Allen Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the league (43.7 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.5 plays per game.
  • Allen Robinson's 30.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 40.5.
  • The Pittsburgh offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of CBs has been very good this year, ranking as the best in football.

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