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Allen Robinson

Allen Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Allen Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers will be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.
  • Allen Robinson's 71.0% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a noteable gain in his pass-catching ability over last season's 64.8% rate.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Cincinnati's safety corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Steelers to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).
  • Allen Robinson's 71.7% Route Participation Rate this year signifies a significant diminishment in his pass game volume over last year's 92.7% mark.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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