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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Allen Lazard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+900/-2700).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -770 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2700.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Jets are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • The New York offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Allen Lazard ranks in the 89th percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs last year, averaging a terrific 0.50 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Jets feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 13.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Jets to pass on 52.4% of their downs: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 121.6 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jets since the start of last season (a measly 55.3 per game on average).
  • The projections expect Allen Lazard to be a less important option in his team's passing offense near the goal line in this contest (5.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.2% in games he has played).

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