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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Allen Lazard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+910/-2400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1550 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line implies a passing game script for the Jets, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 133.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • Allen Lazard's 66.5% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 63.1% rate.
  • The Falcons defense has yielded the 5th-most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to WRs: 1.09 per game this year.
  • This year, the stout Atlanta Falcons run defense has given up a measly 0.73 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 7th-smallest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to pass on 50.2% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Falcons defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
  • While Allen Lazard has received 12.9% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a less important option in New York's offense near the goal line this week at 7.2%.
  • Allen Lazard has totaled far fewer air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (59.0 per game).
  • Allen Lazard's 14.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 38.7.

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