My Account Log Out
 
 
Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Allen Lazard Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1900/-1950).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -5000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1950.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -12.5-point underdogs.
  • Allen Lazard's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 63.1% to 69.0%.
  • This year, the weak New England Patriots defense has given up a staggering 1.30 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing WRs: the 4th-highest rate in the NFL.
  • This year, the formidable Patriots run defense has yielded a meager 0.30 touchdowns on the ground per game to the opposing side: the best rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the New York Jets to be the 7th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the projections to run only 62.7 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • While Allen Lazard has received 13.8% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller part of New York's pass game near the end zone in this game at 4.4%.
  • After accruing 59.0 air yards per game last season, Allen Lazard has posted significant losses this season, currently sitting at 16.0 per game.
  • Allen Lazard's 14.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 38.7.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™