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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-109/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the projections to call 66.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Allen Lazard to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense in this contest (14.1% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.1% in games he has played).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the New York Jets as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Jets O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Allen Lazard's 1.6 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a meaningful regression in his receiving talent over last year's 3.2 figure.

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