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Allen Lazard Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the New York Jets profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Bills pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.7%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (70.7%).

The Buffalo Bills safeties rank as the 4th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Jets offensive blueprint to lean 9.7% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.

Our trusted projections expect the Jets as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Jets have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Allen Lazard to be a much smaller part of his team's passing game in this contest (5.5% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (14.8% in games he has played).

More Allen Lazard Player Props

Allen Lazard ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Allen Lazard Receptions
Player Prop Week 2