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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 131.0 total plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Allen Lazard's 69.0% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a meaningful boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 63.1% figure.
  • This year, the poor Browns pass defense has conceded a colossal 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 51.0% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
  • Allen Lazard has been a less important option in his offense's passing attack this season (6.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (14.8%).
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • Allen Lazard's receiving performance has tailed off this season, notching a measly 1.5 adjusted catches vs 3.2 last season.

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