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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Allen Lazard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line implies a passing game script for the Jets, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 133.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • Allen Lazard's 66.5% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 63.1% rate.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to pass on 50.2% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Falcons defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
  • Allen Lazard has totaled far fewer air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (59.0 per game).
  • Allen Lazard's 14.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 38.7.
  • The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

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