Allen Lazard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Allen Lazard

NFL · Player Props

Allen Lazard

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-115/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Allen Lazard has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (95.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (78.2%).
Allen Lazard has put up significantly more air yards this season (96.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).
The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Allen Lazard has accrued substantially more receiving yards per game (61.0) this season than he did last season (38.0).
Allen Lazard's talent in generating extra yardage have improved this year, averaging 5.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.44 figure last year.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.

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