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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Allen Lazard Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+215/-321).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -307 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -321.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Allen Lazard has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 21.4% this year, which ranks in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
  • Allen Lazard's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 69.9% to 73.6%.
  • Allen Lazard grades out in the 95th percentile among WRs as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 0.56 per game.
  • The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 6th-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The New York Giants defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the worst in the league since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 4th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.
  • The New York Giants defense has allowed the 5th-least passing TDs in football to WRs: 0.50 per game this year.

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