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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -131 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect Alexander Mattison to notch 16.4 carries in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.

While Alexander Mattison has earned 48.0% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Las Vegas's running game in this contest at 64.8%.

This year, the shaky Bengals run defense has allowed a massive 145.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 5th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -8-point disadvantage, the Raiders are big underdogs in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 62.3 total plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Alexander Mattison's 33.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a substantial decline in his running skills over last season's 44.0 mark.

Alexander Mattison's running efficiency (3.19 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (2nd percentile among running backs).

With an atrocious rate of 2.43 yards after contact (10th percentile) this year, Alexander Mattison stands as one of the least powerful RBs in the NFL.

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