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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year, the shaky Los Angeles Rams run defense has surrendered a whopping 161.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 2nd-most in football.

The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the league this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders are a 4-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to run on 39.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The model projects the Raiders to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

Alexander Mattison has been a much smaller piece of his team's running game this season (37.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (51.5%).

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