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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast Alexander Mattison to garner 16.9 rush attempts in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The model projects Alexander Mattison to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game in this game (68.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (31.1% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 39.3% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Raiders to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Alexander Mattison has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (44.0).
  • The Steelers defense owns the 4th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, yielding just 3.72 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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