My Account Log Out

reorder

Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Las Vegas Raiders vs Carolina Panthers

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is suggested by the Raiders being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.

Since the start of last season, the shaky Carolina Panthers run defense has conceded a colossal 143.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the most in football.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Carolina's collection of DTs has been terrible since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 33.2% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-least run-heavy team in the league has been the Las Vegas Raiders.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have just 125.4 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Raiders have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

While Alexander Mattison has earned 48.6% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of Las Vegas's rushing attack this week at 22.5%.

More Alexander Mattison Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™