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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Las Vegas Raiders

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 7th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (41.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Raiders.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being an enormous -7-point underdog this week.

The leading projections forecast the Raiders to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Raiders since the start of last season (a measly 54.8 per game on average).

While Alexander Mattison has accounted for 49.7% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Las Vegas's run game in this week's game at 31.7%.

Since the start of last season, the stout Ravens run defense has conceded a mere 102.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 10th-fewest in the league.

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