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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 138.8 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.

Out of all running backs, Alexander Mattison ranks in the 78th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 45.5% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.

This year, the tough New Orleans Saints run defense has given up a mere 5.09 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 29th-best rate in the league.

The New Orleans defensive tackles rank as the worst group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Raiders to be the 3rd-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 39.2% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Alexander Mattison's 30.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year represents a meaningful decrease in his rushing talent over last year's 44.0 figure.

Alexander Mattison's rushing effectiveness has worsened this year, compiling just 3.11 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 3.87 figure last year.

With an atrocious record of 2.47 yards after contact (11th percentile) this year, Alexander Mattison places among the easiest-to-tackle RBs in football.

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