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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

In this contest, Alexander Mattison is predicted by the model to land in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.9 carries.

The predictive model expects Alexander Mattison to be much more involved in his team's ground game in this game (56.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (45.0% in games he has played).

This year, the shaky Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has yielded a colossal 133.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 7th-most in football.

The Jaguars safeties rank as the 28th-worst unit in football this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders will be rolling with backup quarterback Aidan O'Connell this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The model projects the Raiders to be the 3rd-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 37.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

Alexander Mattison's 31.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects a noteworthy diminishment in his rushing ability over last season's 44.0 figure.

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