My Account Log Out

reorder

Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Alexander Mattison Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to be the 3rd-most run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 43.0% run rate.

The Los Angeles defensive ends project as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL last year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are projected by the model to call only 61.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league last year, totaling a lowly 54.8 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

The predictive model expects Alexander Mattison to be a less important option in his team's run game in this contest (16.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (50.3% in games he has played).

More Alexander Mattison Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™