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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Alexander Mattison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The model projects Alexander Mattison to accumulate 3.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Raiders to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Alexander Mattison's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 71.4% to 68.0%.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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