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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Las Vegas Raiders

Alexander Mattison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-225/+170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being an enormous -7-point underdog this week.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) since the start of last season.

Alexander Mattison has run a route on 44.3% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season.

The Baltimore Ravens linebackers project as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in football (58.8% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Las Vegas Raiders.

The leading projections forecast the Raiders to run the 7th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Raiders since the start of last season (a measly 54.8 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

Alexander Mattison's 63.3% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a substantial decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 71.4% rate.

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