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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

Alexander Mattison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Raiders, who are giant -8-point underdogs.

The model projects the Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

With an impressive 2.5 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) this year, Alexander Mattison ranks as one of the leading pass-catching RBs in the league.

Alexander Mattison's 85.0% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a substantial progression in his receiving talent over last season's 71.3% mark.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (87.4%) to running backs this year (87.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

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