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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -8-point disadvantage, the Raiders are big underdogs in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect Alexander Mattison to accrue 3.9 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • With an exceptional 10.0% Target Rate (79th percentile) this year, Alexander Mattison stands among the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the league.
  • Alexander Mattison's 24.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year shows a material progression in his receiving ability over last year's 12.0 rate.
  • Alexander Mattison's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 71.3% to 84.8%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 62.3 total plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus running backs this year, surrendering 5.25 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Bengals pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.77 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 4th-fewest in the league.

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