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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Raiders are a heavy favorite in this week's game, implying much more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 62.1% of their chances: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast Alexander Mattison to garner 3.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to run just 63.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-fewest among all teams this week.

This year, the imposing Chiefs defense has given up a puny 26.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 6th-fewest in football.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Chiefs pass defense has allowed a massive 86.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 3rd-highest rate in football.

The Chiefs linebackers rank as the 8th-best group of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.

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