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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Raiders to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The model projects Alexander Mattison to accumulate 3.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile among running backs.

Alexander Mattison's 20.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year shows a substantial progression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 12.0 mark.

Alexander Mattison's 7.6 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a noteworthy progression in his receiving skills over last season's 4.5 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Raiders to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Alexander Mattison's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 71.4% to 68.0%.

This year, the fierce Steelers pass defense has given up the 10th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing running backs: a mere 6.7 YAC.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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