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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Alexander Mattison has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for just 40.2% of snaps compared to 52.8% last season.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 10th-best in football this year.

Alexander Mattison's 19.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies a noteable improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 12.0 figure.

Alexander Mattison's pass-game effectiveness has been refined this year, totaling 7.54 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 4.47 figure last year.

Alexander Mattison's skills in generating extra yardage have been refined this season, notching 11.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 5.60 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Raiders to be the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.0 plays per game.

Alexander Mattison has been one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, completing just 68.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 6th percentile.

This year, the imposing Broncos defense has allowed a puny 26.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 7th-best in the NFL.

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