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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.8% of their downs: the 6th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 138.8 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Saints defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects Alexander Mattison to accrue 3.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Alexander Mattison has compiled a feeble -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 23rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Saints pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus RBs this year, conceding 6.02 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-fewest in football.

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