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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders will be rolling with backup quarterback Aidan O'Connell this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Raiders to pass on 62.6% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week.

The model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

The Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (36.1 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to air yards, Alexander Mattison grades out in just the 24th percentile among RBs this year, with just -2.0 per game.

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