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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

Alexander Mattison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Raiders, who are giant -8-point underdogs.

The model projects the Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Alexander Mattison has totaled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (12.0).

Alexander Mattison's 85.0% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a substantial progression in his receiving talent over last season's 71.3% mark.

Alexander Mattison's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, averaging 7.47 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 4.47 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

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