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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Alexander Mattison Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the league this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders are a 4-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to run on 39.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Raiders to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Alexander Mattison has been a much smaller piece of his team's running game this season (37.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (51.5%).

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