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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Alexander Mattison Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast Alexander Mattison to garner 16.9 rush attempts in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.

The model projects Alexander Mattison to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game in this game (68.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (31.1% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 39.3% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The model projects the Raiders to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh's group of safeties has been terrific this year, ranking as the best in football.

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