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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Alexander Mattison Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 40.3% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The Raiders have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Alexander Mattison has been much less involved in his offense's ground game this year (22.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (51.5%).
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Cleveland's group of DTs has been excellent since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

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