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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Las Vegas Raiders vs Carolina Panthers

Alexander Mattison Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is suggested by the Raiders being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Carolina's collection of DTs has been terrible since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 33.2% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-least run-heavy team in the league has been the Las Vegas Raiders.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the model to have just 125.4 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Raiders have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

While Alexander Mattison has earned 48.6% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of Las Vegas's rushing attack this week at 22.5%.

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