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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Alexander Mattison Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Vikings are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 7th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 37.1% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • The predictive model expects Alexander Mattison to be a less important option in his offense's ground game in this week's game (48.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (66.0% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Atlanta's DT corps has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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