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Alex Erickson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Alex Erickson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+128/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Easton Stick.

The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

The Chargers have been the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 64.5% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect Alex Erickson to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack this week (12.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).

The Broncos linebackers profile as the worst LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Alex Erickson profiles as one of the weakest WRs in the game this year, averaging just 1.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 13th percentile when it comes to WRs.

With a subpar 51.2% Adjusted Completion% (14th percentile) this year, Alex Erickson rates among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts.

More Alex Erickson Player Props

Alex Erickson ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 17

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Alex Erickson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17