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Alex Erickson

Alex Erickson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Alex Erickson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-186).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +143 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Chargers may rely on the pass game less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup quarterback Easton Stick.
  • This week's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are huge -12.5-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Alex Erickson grades out as one of the bottom wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a mere 1.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 13th percentile among WRs.
  • Alex Erickson checks in as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football, completing just 44.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 9th percentile among WRs
  • The Bills cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

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