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Alex Erickson

Alex Erickson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Alex Erickson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Easton Stick.
  • The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Chargers have been the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 64.5% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect Alex Erickson to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack this week (12.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).
  • With a terrific 9.5 adjusted yards per target (83rd percentile) this year, Alex Erickson has been as one of the best WRs in the league in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • With a subpar 51.2% Adjusted Completion% (14th percentile) this year, Alex Erickson rates among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts.

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