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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Alec Pierce Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+390/-465).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -460 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -465.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: most in football.
  • As it relates to air yards, Alec Pierce grades out in the lofty 95th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 94.0 per game.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
  • Alec Pierce's 65.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a significant improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 54.6% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 51.0% red zone run rate.
  • Alec Pierce ranks in the 1st percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.
  • This year, the daunting Cardinals defense has given up a puny 0.40 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.

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