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Alec Pierce Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+320/-350).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -350.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -4.5-point underdog in this week's game.

While Alec Pierce has received 5.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Indianapolis's passing offense near the end zone in this week's game at 15.9%.

Alec Pierce has put up significantly more air yards this season (128.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).

Alec Pierce's 63.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 43.8.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 5th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 49.1% red zone run rate.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the model to run just 64.2 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

With a subpar 51.9% Adjusted Completion% (9th percentile) this year, Alec Pierce stands as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among WRs.

This year, the daunting Chiefs defense has conceded a mere 0.60 TDs through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 6th-smallest rate in football.

More Alec Pierce Player Props

Alec Pierce TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12