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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-116/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts have been the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 63.6% pass rate.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide.
  • The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.7 per game) this year.
  • Alec Pierce's 59.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 43.8.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Colts being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.
  • Alec Pierce's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 54.6% to 51.5%.

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