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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+122/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -210 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: most in football.
  • Alec Pierce has run a route on 84.3% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
  • Alec Pierce's 65.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a significant improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 54.6% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Arizona's group of CBs has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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