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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Alec Pierce has run a route on 84.3% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Alec Pierce's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 54.6% to 65.2%.
  • The Raiders pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (74.5%) to wide receivers this year (74.5%).
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Las Vegas's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 55.0% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Colts offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.07 seconds per snap.

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