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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -195 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to run the 9th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Alec Pierce has run a route on 85.0% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.

The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Since the start of last season, the deficient Titans pass defense has been torched for a massive 67.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 9th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.0% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should lead to reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier weather this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.4 per game) since the start of last season.

Alec Pierce checks in as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football, completing a measly 55.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 7th percentile among WRs

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