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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-117/+109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +109 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by the projection model to run 64.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-most on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.
  • With an elite 80.8% Snap% (82nd percentile) since the start of last season, Alec Pierce rates as one of the RBs with the most usage in football.
  • The Indianapolis offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Alec Pierce is positioned as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league, completing a mere 53.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 5th percentile among WRs
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Denver's unit has been very good since the start of last season, grading out as the best in football.

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