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Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-119/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Colts, who are -4-point underdogs.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-most in football.

Alec Pierce's 58.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 43.8.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 10th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a measly 54.9 per game on average).

Alec Pierce grades out as one of the worst possession receivers in football, catching a mere 56.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 16th percentile among WRs

More Alec Pierce Player Props

Alec Pierce ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 16