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Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+104/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +119 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +104.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Indianapolis Colts will be forced to use backup QB Philip Rivers in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.At a -13-point disadvantage, the Colts are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.The Colts rank as the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.2% pass rate.The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.This week, Alec Pierce is projected by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 76th percentile among WRs with 6.5 targets.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The leading projections forecast the Colts to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.8 plays per game.With a bad 56.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (12th percentile) this year, Alec Pierce places as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league when it comes to wide receivers.The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (58.1%) versus wideouts this year (58.1%).When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been terrific this year, grading out as the 6th-best in football.
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